LAS VEGAS -- I've said it before, I'll say it again, and I'll keep saying it: The point spread is the great equalizer.
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I went 3-3 against the spread last week and remain at exactly .500 at 27-27-1 ATS. That's certainly not the goal as we try to find value to increase the winning percentage. But last week, at least, I found my 'dog-or-pass' contrarian approach -- which often finds me against the general public and on the same side that the sports books need -- to be a moral victory as favorites went 8-5 ATS and the books had their worst week so far this season.
NFL Picks Against the Spread and Expert Predictions, Tips, Parlays. NFL picks and expert predictions as well as betting tips and parlays for all of this weeks games. Best NFL Picks Against the Spread. Arguably, NFL picks ATS are the most in-demand of all the types of football wagers. What makes spread betting ideal for American football is its ability to level. Pickwatch tracks NFL expert picks and millions of fan picks for free to tell you who the most accurate handicappers in 2020 are at ESPN, CBS, FOX and many more are, straight up and against the spread.
If anything, I wish I had been a little more selective. In the LVH SuperContest, where you pick five games per week, I dropped my sixth play here of the Falcons plus-2.5 versus the Cardinals mainly because it was turning into a public dog. If I had passed here as well, I would have managed to stay above .500. But I guess I can't beat myself up too much as my plays on the Cowboys-Lions and Giants-Eagles ended up being winning plays for the public as well. If I had passed on all of those, I would have fared even worse.
So it's back to the betting board with a second straight week with six teams on a bye. Hopefully we make the right calls on get on the right side of .500.
Programming Note: I'm no longer eligible for ESPN.com's 'Streak for the Cash' contest, but they've asked me to suggest some plays. This is different from picking games against the spread (especially because they mostly have you pick games straight up, and the games are closer to pick 'em), but it's all about win percentages/odds, so I'll tackle those at the end of the column. Good luck.
Last week: 3-3 ATS | Year to date: 27-27-1 (50 percent) ATS
Note: Consensus pick percentages as of late Thursday night.
Matchup: Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers
Spread: Panthers minus-7.5
Public consensus pick: 59 percent picked Panthers
Public perception: The Panthers have won and covered three straight games in blowout fashion and the public has jumped on the bandwagon. Cam Newton has mixed the run and the pass for a balanced offense and the defense is ranked fourth in the league. Meanwhile, the Falcons have turned into a team to fade as they've underachieved to the tune of 2-5 SU and ATS.
Wiseguys' view: I'd like to thank those who have taken the time to say they appreciate me pointing out the profitable teaser games even though they're not part of my official record here. This is one of the games that will be a popular teaser for both sharps and squares this week as you can get the Panthers under a field goal.
Tuley's Take: As far as the spread is concerned, I think it's been overinflated (it was Panthers minus-6 on the LVH's advance line just a week ago) based on the Panthers' short-term result and the Falcons' slide. Yes, the Panthers are looking good and I'll likely be on them as a 'dog in some of their games coming up, but I don't think this line should be more than a touchdown based on their wins over the Vikings, Rams and Buccaneers. I mean, the Falcons are struggling, but they're still better than those teams and will make a game of this. It certainly wouldn't be shocking if they pull the outright upset.
The pick: Falcons.
NFL picks and expert predictions as well as betting tips and parlays for all of this weeks games. All of our expert NFL predictions are against the spread. (ATS) This page will be updated weekly.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, 2/7/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Super Bowl
by Tony Sink - 1/26/2021
The Kansas City Chiefs hit the road to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium (6:30 PM EST). The expected starters at QB are Patrick Mahomes for the Chiefs and Tom Brady for the Buccaneers. This matchup report includes NFL odds, predictions, and a free pick against the spread.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, 1/24/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, NFC Championship
by Tony Sink - 1/19/2021
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers take on the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field (3:05 PM EST). The quarterbacks expected to start the game are Tom Brady for the Buccaneers and Aaron Rodgers for the Packers. This matchup report includes NFL odds, predictions, and a free pick against the spread.
Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 1/24/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, AFC Championship
by Guy Bruhn - 1/19/2021
The Buffalo Bills go up against the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium (6:40 PM EST). The expected starters at QB are Josh Allen for the Bills and Patrick Mahomes for the Chiefs. This report includes betting predictions and our expert NFL picks for todays game.
Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 1/17/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Divisional Playoffs
by Josh Schonwald - 1/11/2021
The Cleveland Browns hit the road to play the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium (3:05 PM EST). The probable starting quarterbacks are Baker Mayfield for the Browns and Patrick Mahomes for the Chiefs. This matchup report includes football betting lines and our pick of the day for this game.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 1/17/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Divisional Playoffs
by Parlays Pundit - 1/11/2021
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers hit the road to take on the New Orleans Saints at Mercedes-Benz Superdome (6:40 PM EST). The expected starting QBs are Tom Brady for the Buccaneers and Drew Brees for the Saints. We have included an expert NFL pick and parlay for todays game against the spread.
Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 1/16/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Divisional Playoffs
by Guy Bruhn - 1/11/2021
The Baltimore Ravens take on the Buffalo Bills at Bills Stadium (8:15 PM EST). The QBs expected to start under center are Lamar Jackson for the Ravens and Josh Allen for the Bills. This report includes betting predictions and our expert NFL picks for todays game.
Los Angeles Rams vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, 1/16/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Divisional Playoffs
by Tony Sink - 1/11/2021
The Los Angeles Rams take on the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field (4:35 PM EST). The expected starters at quarterback are Jared Goff for the Rams and Aaron Rodgers for the Packers. This matchup report includes NFL odds, predictions, and a free pick against the spread.
Chicago Bears vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 1/10/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Wild Card Playoff
by Guy Bruhn - 1/4/2021
The Chicago Bears take on the New Orleans Saints at Mercedes-Benz Superdome (4:40 PM EST). The expected starters at quarterback are Mitchell Trubisky for the Bears and Drew Brees for the Saints. This matchup report includes Vegas odds and a free NFL prediction for tonight.
Baltimore Ravens vs Tennessee Titans Prediction, 1/10/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Wild Card Playoff
by Parlays Pundit - 1/4/2021
The Baltimore Ravens hit the road to play the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium (1:05 PM EST). The expected starting quarterbacks are Lamar Jackson for the Ravens and Ryan Tannehill for the Titans. We have included an expert NFL pick and parlay for todays game against the spread.
Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks Prediction, 1/9/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Wild Card Playoff
by Guy Bruhn - 1/4/2021
The Los Angeles Rams go up against the Seattle Seahawks at Lumen Field (4:40 PM EST). The expected starting quarterbacks are John Wolford for the Rams and Russell Wilson for the Seahawks. This report includes betting predictions and our expert NFL picks for todays game.
Indianapolis Colts vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 1/9/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Wildcard Playoff
by Tony Sink - 1/4/2021
The Indianapolis Colts hit the road to take on the Buffalo Bills at Bills Stadium (1:05 PM EST). The expected starters at quarterback are Philip Rivers for the Colts and Josh Allen for the Bills. This matchup report includes NFL odds, predictions, and a free pick against the spread.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Football Team Prediction, 1/9/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Wild Card Playoff
by Josh Schonwald - 1/4/2021
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers take on the Washington Football Team at FedEx Field (8:15 PM EST). The QBs expected to start under center are Tom Brady for the Buccaneers and Alex Smith for the Football Team. This matchup report includes football betting lines and our pick of the day for this game.
Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, 1/10/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Wild Card Playoff
by Josh Schonwald - 1/4/2021
The Cleveland Browns hit the road to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers at Heinz Field (8:15 PM EST). The QBs expected to start under center are Baker Mayfield for the Browns and Ben Roethlisberger for the Steelers. This games report has current odds, betting predictions, and free picks against the spread.
Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions Prediction, 1/3/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 17
by Parlays Pundit - 12/29/2020
The Minnesota Vikings hit the road to play the Detroit Lions at Ford Field (1:00 PM EST). The probable starting QBs are Kirk Cousins for the Vikings and Matthew Stafford for the Lions. We have included an expert NFL pick and parlay for todays game against the spread.
Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 1/3/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 17
by Tony Sink - 12/29/2020
The Miami Dolphins hit the road to take on the Buffalo Bills at Bills Stadium (1:00 PM EST). The QBs expected to start under center are Tua Tagovailoa for the Dolphins and Josh Allen for the Bills. This matchup report includes NFL odds, predictions, and a free pick against the spread.
New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers Prediction, 1/3/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 17
by Guy Bruhn - 12/29/2020
The New Orleans Saints play the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium (4:25 PM EST). The probable starting QBs are Drew Brees for the Saints and Teddy Bridgewater for the Panthers. This matchup report includes betting lines and our NFL pick of the day for this game.
Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Prediction, 1/3/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 17
by Josh Schonwald - 12/29/2020
Nfl Football Picks Against The Spread Computer Screen
The Dallas Cowboys take on the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium (1:00 PM EST). The quarterbacks expected to start under center are Andy Dalton for the Cowboys and Colt McCoy for the Giants. This games report has current odds, betting predictions, and free picks against the spread.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns Prediction, 1/3/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 17
by Josh Schonwald - 12/29/2020
The Pittsburgh Steelers hit the road to play the Cleveland Browns at FirstEnergy Stadium (1:00 PM EST). The QBs expected to start the game are Ben Roethlisberger for the Steelers and Baker Mayfield for the Browns. This matchup report includes football betting lines and our pick of the day for this game.
Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Prediction, 1/3/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 17
by Guy Bruhn - 12/29/2020
The Green Bay Packers hit the road to play the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field (4:25 PM EST). The probable starting quarterbacks are Aaron Rodgers for the Packers and Mitchell Trubisky for the Bears. This matchup report has your NFL football pick of the day as well as NFL football odds for the game.
Washington Football Team vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction, 1/3/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Week 17
by Tony Sink - 12/29/2020
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The Washington Football Team hit the road to take on the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field (8:20 PM EST). The expected starters at QB are Dwayne Haskins for the Football Team and Jalen Hurts for the Eagles. This matchup report includes odds, betting predictions and a free pick against the spread.
Nfl Football Picks Against The Spread Computer Week 5
1 234567891011 ... 125 | Next >>Please note that the NFL picks above for tonight's games are not computer based. All of these articles are written by our talented staff. If you have any comments or suggestions please email service@docsports.com
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